Schedule for Week of May 20, 2018
The key economic reports this week are April New and Existing home sales.----- Monday, May 21st -----8:30 AM ET: Chicago Fed National Activity Index for April. This is a composite index of other...
View Article"Do People Really Downsize?"
Some interesting analysis from economist Josh Lehner, at the Oregon Office of Economic Analysis on whether people actually downsize in retirement. This is important since so many baby boomers are...
View ArticleSunday Night Futures
Weekend:⢠Schedule for Week of May 20, 2018Monday:⢠8:30 AM ET, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for April. This is a composite index of other data.From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg...
View ArticleChicago Fed "Index Points to Little Change in Economic Growth in...
From the Chicago Fed: Index Points to Little Change in Economic Growth in AprilThe Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) ticked up to +0.34 in April from +0.32 in March. Two of the four broad...
View ArticleOil Prices Up almost 50% Year-over-year
First, an excerpt from a research note by Merrill Lynch economists today: If bad luck intersects with bad policy, a recession becomes a real risk. We would keep a particularly close eye on two...
View ArticleTen Years Ago: Looking back at a Foreclosure
Ten years ago today, I wrote House Price Mosaic. This was a discussion of how areas with significant foreclosure activity were seeing larger price declines (as expected).In the post, I mentioned a...
View Article"Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Begin Week", Near 7 Year High
Tuesday:⢠At 10:00 AM ET, Richmond Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for May.From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Begin WeekMortgage rates held steady today,...
View ArticleThe Changing Mix of Light Vehicle Sales
Whenever I'm driving, it seems like I'm surrounded by more and more SUVs and trucks. So I thought I'd look at the changing mix of vehicle sales over time (between passenger cars and light trucks /...
View ArticleRichmond Fed: "Fifth District Manufacturing Firms Reported Robust Growth...
From the Richmond Fed: Fifth District Manufacturing Firms Reported Robust Growth in MayFifth District manufacturing firms saw robust growth in May, according to survey results from the Federal Reserve...
View ArticleExisting Home Sales: Take the Under for April
Housing economist Tom Lawler has been sending me his predictions of what the NAR will report for 8+ years. The table below shows the consensus for each month, Lawler's predictions, and the NAR's...
View ArticleFDIC: Fewer Problem banks, Residential REO Declined in Q1
The FDIC released the Quarterly Banking Profile for Q1 today: Aggregate net income for the 5,606 FDIC-insured commercial banks and savings institutions reporting first quarter performance totaled $56...
View ArticleWednesday: New Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
Wednesday:⢠At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.⢠At 10:00 AM: New Home Sales for April from the Census...
View ArticleMBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Refi Index...
From the MBA: Mortgage Rates Increase, Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly SurveyMortgage applications decreased 2.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers...
View ArticleNew Home Sales decrease to 662,000 Annual Rate in April
The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in April were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 662 thousand. The previous three months were revised down, combined."Sales of new single-family...
View ArticleAIA: "Architecture Firm Billings Strengthen in April"
Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: Architecture Firm Billings Strengthen in AprilThe American Institute of Architects (AIA)...
View ArticleA few Comments on April New Home Sales
New home sales for April were reported at 662,000 on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis (SAAR). This was below the consensus forecast, and the three previous months were revised down.Sales in...
View ArticleFOMC Minutes: "A temporary period of inflation modestly above 2 percent...
Still on pace for 3 or 4 rate hikes in 2018. Some excerpts:From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, May 1-2, 2018: With regard to the medium-term outlook for monetary policy, all...
View ArticleBlack Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in April,...
From Black Knight: Black Knightâs First Look: Mortgage Delinquencies Buck Upward Seasonal Trend in April, Fall to Second Lowest Point in 12 Years⢠Historically, mortgage delinquencies have risen 85...
View ArticlePhilly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 45 states in April
From the Philly Fed: The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for April 2018. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 49 states and...
View ArticleThursday: Unemployment Claims, Existing Home Sales
Top Financial Blogs 11-20Thursday:⢠At 8:30 AM ET: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 220 thousand initial claims, down from 222 thousand the...
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